Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 2.278256 2.727731 3.231650 3.836840 4.542202 5.336575 6.297105
2025-12-21 1.627825 2.195934 2.901582 3.835793 5.032545 6.505875 8.447604
2025-12-28 1.318420 1.960471 2.826655 4.065337 5.772875 8.022683 11.185536
2026-01-04 1.074394 1.739331 2.702740 4.173824 6.330122 9.334839 13.787112
2026-01-11 0.915569 1.597439 2.648853 4.347562 6.970836 10.802192 16.732908
2026-01-18 0.759537 1.422565 2.506461 4.351794 7.341068 11.897143 19.232189
2026-01-25 0.611540 1.227626 2.293521 4.201654 7.436068 12.567171 21.135776
2026-02-01 0.495147 1.062669 2.099193 4.044945 7.486065 13.151522 22.936240
2026-02-08 0.422308 0.963543 2.001917 4.036158 7.772356 14.128700 25.435580
2026-02-15 0.364552 0.882003 1.922304 4.043971 8.080779 15.160539 28.101503
2026-02-22 0.310911 0.797504 1.822120 3.995872 8.276249 16.006800 30.511115
2026-03-01 0.253506 0.691771 1.660610 3.802192 8.171388 16.303400 31.972370
2026-03-08 0.217445 0.629158 1.581825 3.769703 8.381836 17.206100 34.626394
2026-03-15 0.188144 0.576628 1.516476 3.756171 8.628132 18.197902 37.529535
2026-03-22 0.177413 0.570273 1.556143 3.977428 9.380129 20.219669 42.524056
2026-03-29 0.161046 0.544663 1.545425 4.082554 9.896457 21.821073 46.831875
2026-04-05 0.149766 0.531018 1.561879 4.252481 10.569439 23.787460 51.993821
2026-04-12 0.132157 0.494026 1.512215 4.256509 10.873287 25.024147 55.793306
2026-04-19 0.110982 0.440059 1.407677 4.109302 10.815022 25.499601 58.083111
2026-04-26 0.092874 0.390904 1.306857 3.955692 10.721881 25.887910 60.214378
2026-05-03 0.081997 0.363743 1.263766 3.947076 10.973022 27.038746 64.023027
2026-05-10 0.072952 0.340678 1.228594 3.954733 11.264082 28.299054 68.151227
2026-05-17 0.063654 0.313790 1.176559 3.907590 11.411598 29.245872 71.661909